Monday, May 27, 2013

Blue Chip Prospects Auto - Mathew Dumba

I didn't know much about Mathew Dumba prior to the 2012 WJHC but he certainly made an impression on me scoring 12 points in 7 games while patrolling the blue-line for the bronze medal winning squad. Then the draft came and I watched closely to see where he would get snatched up and the Wild took him with the 7th pick which due to the arrival of Ryan Suter he was expendable for the abbriviated season and was shipped back to junior. The Wild are slowing growing into a team that could be very surprising over the next few years and I don't doubt that Dumba will play a pretty big role in their resurgence.

12-13 ITG Heroes and Prospects Auto Mathew Dumba
Please ignore the tape on the top-loader. I scanned it before I put it into a new loader. Mathew is coming off his third full year of junior hockey and even though there was a point total dip, he still finished third in team scoring as a defenseman and he did get a couple games in the AHL with the Aeros which will help with making the jump next season to the pros.

Here is my analysis of Mathew Dumba

Probability of making the NHL : 97%
Probability of being an NHL All-Star: 20%
Probability of being a HOF'er: 1%
Probability of making the Pyeongchang Olympics: 25%
Probability of making the Sochi Olympics: 0.6%
Probability of being the Greatest Wild Defenseman of All-Time*: 2.8%
Probability of being better than Shawn Chambers and Andy Sutton Combined: 90%

I am including the North Stars on this one so his odds are affected by players like Craig Hartsburg.

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